A new poll conducted by the Saint Anselm College Survey Center (SACSC) at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics (NHIOP) finds President Joe Biden facing weak support for re-election. Although his job approval has improved somewhat since the mid-term elections, he is still underwater at 45%-54%. This translates into a weak primary ballot, with only 34% of those intending to vote in the Democratic presidential primary indicating support for the incumbent.
Trailing Biden is Secretary of Transportation and 2020 New Hampshire Primary runner-up Pete Buttigieg (18%), former First Lady Michelle Obama (14%), and Senator and 2020 New Hampshire winner Bernie Sanders (11%). Governors Gretchen Whitmer and Gavin Newsom along with Vice President Kamala Harris trail the pack at 4% each, while declared candidate Marianne Williamson (2%) and former Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton (1%) show very little current support.
Reminiscent of the 2016 cycle, Donald Trump leads with a strong plurality among those intending to vote in the Republican presidential primary as support is fractured among declared and potential opponents. Trump currently leads the field with 42%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (29%), Governor Chris Sununu (14%), former South Carolina Governor and UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (4%), and recent entrant Vivek Ramaswamy (3%).
New Hampshire voters remain pessimistic with only 15% believe that the country is on the “right track”, the lowest percentage in the history of this poll. 74% believe that it is on the “wrong track” – tied for the highest percentage. 70% believe the electoral system would be improved with inclusion of additional parties; a strong 79% willing to consider an independent or third-party candidate.
The Democratic Party has regained its lead on the generic ballot. After trailing for much of last year, Democrats now lead by 8 points, 46%-38%.
Results are from the Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll based on online surveys of 1320 New Hampshire registered voters. Surveys were collected between March 28th and 30th, 2023, from cell phone users randomly drawn from a sample of registered voters reflecting the demographic and partisan characteristics of the voting population. Names were presented in random order for the job approval and ballot test series.